Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $38.11
- Potential payout
- $3.05K
- Potential profit
- $3.01K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$936.36
Polymarket Trader
Aaronlippy
0x8a18db69d930e85e107e1d158593bad67b7bd6f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.86
- Realized PnL
- $925.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $681.37
- Potential profit
- $681.37
- User PnL
- -$20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.35
- Potential profit
- $123.35
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Solana Up or Down - January 23, 5PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.33
- Potential profit
- $108.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
XRP Up or Down - January 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.71
- Potential profit
- $99.71
- User PnL
- -$19.87
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.23
- Potential profit
- $68.23
- User PnL
- -$19.79
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.33
- Potential profit
- $64.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $52.62
- Potential profit
- $52.54
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.89
- Potential profit
- $24.89
- User PnL
- -$3.98
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $23.33
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$7.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.05
- Potential profit
- $2.05
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.46
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.55
Up position
Solana Up or Down - January 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.58
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.85
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $4.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.56
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 34% 24 shares
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 15% 10 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 3.2% 333.65 shares
- Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 4.2% 52.62 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 1.8% 333.65 shares
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 16.9% 35.59 shares
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 16.7% 120.11 shares
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 12% 41.55 shares
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 12.6% 47.56 shares