Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $190
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$88
Polymarket Trader
Tokyo.is.hot
0x8a19890daccd81dc8eab48ea8a311d2a801e073d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.03K
- Realized PnL
- $3.79K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $983.9
- Potential payout
- $984.39
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- User PnL
- $3.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $561.35
- Potential payout
- $561.91
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- User PnL
- $38.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $461.95
- Potential payout
- $462.18
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $4.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $363.82
- Potential payout
- $364
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $287.99
- Potential payout
- $288.13
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $113.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $166.95
- Potential payout
- $167.03
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $21.79
Yes position
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $51.28
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $17.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.59
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $164.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.7
N
No position
Will Seoul have between 35-40mm of precipitation in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.58
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.84
Yes position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $114.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 26?No 99.6% 364 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 26?Yes 99.6% 512.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 26?Yes 1.4% 131.6 shares
- Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?Yes 39% 51.28 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?Yes 91% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 26?No 44.2% 71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 26?No 48.7% 61.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 26?No 79% 79.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 26?No 99.8% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 26?No 99.8% 332.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 26?No 65.6% 76.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 26?No 99.8% 434.39 shares