Polymarket Trader

norio

0x8a1bb72d15c753464d07917df953727a69f25f82

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.86K
Realized PnL: $1.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $231.56
Potential payout: $945.14
Potential profit: $713.58
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$162.5

No position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $515.43
Potential payout: $741.73
Potential profit: $226.3
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$100.21

No position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $292.42
Potential payout: $556.99
Potential profit: $264.57
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$103.04

No position

GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $8.96
Potential payout: $471.65
Potential profit: $462.69
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$42.45

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 59.8%
Current value: $244.97
Potential payout: $409.99
Potential profit: $165.02
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $81.87

No position

GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $18.2
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $261.8
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$74.2

No position

Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $171.76
Potential payout: $279.28
Potential profit: $107.52
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $96.35

No position

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $108.8
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $61.2
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $93.5

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $113.61
Potential payout: $115.75
Potential profit: $2.14
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $31.52
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $18.48
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$15.48

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $49.6
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.4
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.7%
Current value: $38.85
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $11.15
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$8.15

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 77.2%
Current value: $15.44
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4.56
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $9.87
Potential payout: $15.3
Potential profit: $5.43
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $2.83

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $5.52
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $2.48
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $1.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $748.74

No position

Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $531.33

No position

Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78

No position

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.31

No position

Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.1

Yes position

Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.68

No position

Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

No position

Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.67

No position

Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.94

Yes position

Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

Will Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.98

No position

Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.84

No position

Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Yes position

Will Paradex launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

No position

Will Paradex launch a token by December 31 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37

No position

Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.3%
Multiplier: 4.71x
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Harmonix FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will the AAVE token alignment proposal pass?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will Paradex launch a token by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Harmonix FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Paradex launch a token by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Yes 8% 30 shares
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?

No 49% 8 shares
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 97.2% 15 shares
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 83% 83.16 shares
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

No 42% 645.81 shares
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 71% 187.61 shares
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

No 41% 289.85 shares
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?

No 10.9% 25 shares
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 33% 40.35 shares
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 23.7% 70.28 shares
Will Solana reach $110 in March?

Yes 5% 50 shares
Will Solana reach $110 in March?

Yes 21% 50 shares