No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.89K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $110
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $60
Polymarket Trader
nofreemoney26
0x8a1c54d1b8d3b394501029fc48b2ff9d44e565da
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.65K
- Realized PnL
- $3.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $925
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $951.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $48.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $50.5
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $945
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $105
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $935
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $65
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $812.69
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $669.08
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415.01
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.12
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.26
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.63
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.02
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.03
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.03
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.71
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.09
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.05
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.01
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.01
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.01
No position
Netanyahu out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.01
No position
Iran leadership change by March 13?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 1,000 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 99.5% 1,000 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 99.7% 1,000 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 99.7% 1,000 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 96.5% 697.07 shares
- Netanyahu out by May 31?No 98.3% 1,000 shares
- QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Yes 99.9% 10,000 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 97.8% 255 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 97.1% 1,000 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?No 99.5% 1,000 shares
- Trump out as President by April 30?No 99.4% 1,000 shares
- Trump out as President by April 30?No 99.4% 2,000 shares