Polymarket Trader

mx156

0x8a1e1e8fec1fb91f12ba3b8ebec52d2eda21bd03

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.04K
Realized PnL: $17.21K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $116.67
Potential payout: $33.33K
Potential profit: $33.22K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $16.7

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $144.93
Potential payout: $26.35K
Potential profit: $26.21K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $25.11

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $41.67
Potential payout: $16.67K
Potential profit: $16.63K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$8.32

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $7.75
Potential payout: $15.5K
Potential profit: $15.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$116.25

Yes position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.99K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$22.5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $35.54
Potential payout: $14.22K
Potential profit: $14.18K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$504.42

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $43.75
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $12.46K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.55K
Potential profit: $11.55K
User PnL: -$103.17

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $58.44
Potential payout: $10.63K
Potential profit: $10.57K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$26.56

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $175.32
Potential payout: $8.19K
Potential profit: $8.02K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $45.32

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $40.52
Potential payout: $7.37K
Potential profit: $7.33K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$25.78

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $48.81
Potential payout: $3.37K
Potential profit: $3.32K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$11.19

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.33

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $165.6
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $2.67K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $60.61

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $34.09
Potential payout: $2.73K
Potential profit: $2.69K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $4.09

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $15.83
Potential payout: $2.44K
Potential profit: $2.42K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$14.16

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $57.77
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $2.3K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$2.23

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $15.91
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$4.09

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $18.05
Potential payout: $468.75
Potential profit: $450.7
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: $10.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.34K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $931.44

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $804.68

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $730.68

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $671.89

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $658.79

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $612.25

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $504.96

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $455.56

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.32

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $389.01

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.78

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.19

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.44

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.08

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.64

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $287.41

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.37

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.92

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.62

No position

Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $244.45

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 25,316.66 shares
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 16,666.67 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 34% 588.23 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 17% 588.24 shares
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 15,000 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 464.64 shares
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Yes 6.2% 434.7 shares
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 958.41 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 32.5% 464.64 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 80% 414.42 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 2,727.27 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 83.1% 361.05 shares