Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $25.94
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.73
Polymarket Trader
0x8a30...9c67
0x8a30b58739a79d7c710264c7ec9768d22de09c67
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $56.05
- Realized PnL
- -$11.78
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $19.11
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.47
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $13.69
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- -$2.22
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $13.2
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $4.62
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $9.38
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$2.12
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $13.1
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $12.85
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.21
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.28
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.91x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$12.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No 83% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 57.1% 6 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 90% 5 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 18% 6 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 96.4% 10 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 82% 9 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 90.9% 20 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 83% 6 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 44.7% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 45.9% 6 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 55.1% 7 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 22.5% 10 shares