No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $10.84K
- Potential payout
- $10.85K
- Potential profit
- $10.85
- User PnL
- $2.99K
Polymarket Trader
iNtErNaTiOnAlLaW
0x8a36cb30827e90fc51e28e2b6d044f7db017288f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.42K
- Realized PnL
- $585.39
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$2.1K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- $162.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.58K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $425
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $425
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$4.1K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$1.83K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.54
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.1
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$307.43
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.92K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 9% 2,197.05 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 20% 10 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 20% 2,792.96 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 97.4% 571 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96.7% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 82% 5,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 22% 2,878.58 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 78% 5,000 shares
- Netanyahu out by April 30?No 98.4% 818.78 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No 97.9% 6,300 shares
- France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?No 90.5% 2,255.27 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 89.7% 1,665.39 shares