Polymarket Trader

ggmggn

0x8a37fe3a49a36de9facd04bd09ee379211f7c99c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $34.5K
Realized PnL: $150.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $28.96K
Potential payout: $32.73K
Potential profit: $3.76K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $9.48K

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.82K
Potential payout: $24.5K
Potential profit: $21.69K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$9.43K

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $11.81K
Potential profit: $10.38K
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: -$3.85K

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $9.3K
Potential profit: $8.01K
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$3.36K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.41K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.01K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.71K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.98K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.51K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.03K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.99K

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.23K

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 86.2%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $3.97K

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 87.9%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.43K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.77K

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $2.37K

Yes position

Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09K

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.7%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.91K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Aurora position

Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $976.46

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $974.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $967.49

No position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $928.85

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $896.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 14% 852.93 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.2% 68.64 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.7% 88.08 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.7% 23.17 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.7% 153.65 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 17.1% 21.29 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 17.2% 29.88 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 17.9% 28.21 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 17.3% 15.49 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 17.4% 29.14 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18.3% 26.89 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.9% 240.59 shares