Yes position
China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.64
- Potential profit
- $277.64
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
morrse
@dmnn24352498
0x8a55ba34d502e3c132641d18287d2c7b1a003923
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12
- Realized PnL
- $153.33
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $12
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $188
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Jazz position
Jazz vs. Warriors
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Jazz
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.11
Mavericks position
Mavericks vs. Wizards
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.17
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.53
No position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.07
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.02
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?No 95.3% 94.4 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?No 95.3% 94.41 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 99.4% 91.1 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.6% 91.1 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 95% 92.7 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 96% 92.71 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 95.7% 92.78 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97% 92.78 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 89% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 89% 100 shares
- US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?No 99% 175.82 shares
- US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?No 91% 175.82 shares