Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.68
- Potential profit
- $30.68
- User PnL
- -$24.85
Polymarket Trader
0x8a582da626fcc35D57B57E5B0d07fFa0210be7f9-1771915187910
0x8a582da626fcc35d57b57e5b0d07ffa0210be7f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.97
- Realized PnL
- $54.65
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.51
- Potential profit
- $27.51
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.27
- Potential profit
- $14.27
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.09
- Potential profit
- $11.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $9.68
- Potential profit
- $6.82
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.1
- Potential profit
- $6.1
- User PnL
- -$2.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.71
- Potential profit
- $5.71
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.53
- Potential profit
- $5.53
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.41
- Potential profit
- $3.41
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.14
- Potential profit
- $2.14
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.93
- Potential profit
- $1.93
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.92
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $1.92
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $1.51
- Potential payout
- $1.56
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?Yes 38% 2.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 5?Yes 52% 1.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 5?Yes 64% 1.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?Yes 35% 2.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 5?Yes 35% 2.86 shares
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Yes 31% 9.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETDown 91% 2.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 3?Yes 33% 3.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 3?Yes 24% 4.17 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?Yes 58.7% 5.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 3?Yes 52% 1.92 shares