No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$49.96
Polymarket Trader
0x8a5C0de5f540145A643618edd17eB056ECe825E8-1762737240615
0x8a5c0de5f540145a643618edd17eb056ece825e8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.79
- Realized PnL
- $1.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-04-12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$3
Sumit Nagal position
BMW Open, Qualification: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Sumit Nagal
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.91K
- Potential profit
- $2.91K
- User PnL
- -$2.91
Red Wings position
Red Wings vs. Panthers
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $2.66K
- User PnL
- -$6
Anastasia Potapova position
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapova
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Kansas City Royals position
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Philadelphia Phillies position
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$3.88
San Francisco Giants position
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- User PnL
- -$2.91
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Emilio Nava position
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $970.03
- Potential profit
- $970.03
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $950.05
- Potential profit
- $950.05
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $491.26
- Potential profit
- $491.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $475.05
- Potential profit
- $475.05
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $475.04
- Potential profit
- $475.04
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $376.5
- Potential profit
- $376.5
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $15.4
- Potential payout
- $327.75
- Potential profit
- $312.34
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- $9.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316.72
- Potential profit
- $316.72
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $197.66
- Potential profit
- $197.66
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Miami Marlins position
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.81
- Potential profit
- $169.81
- User PnL
- -$1.94
No position
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $4.03
- Potential payout
- $161.05
- Potential profit
- $157.03
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160.15
- Potential profit
- $160.15
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $145.36
- Potential profit
- $145.36
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.57
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.36
Yes position
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6PM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 2.8% 71.43 shares
- Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 1.8% 110.68 shares
- Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 7% 42.86 shares
- Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 1.9% 161.05 shares
- Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 1.9% 261.08 shares
- Will Kanye West attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 1.6% 61.16 shares
- Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 1.5% 66.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETUp 77% 21.73 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETUp 23% 21.74 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?Yes 29% 3.45 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes 4.2% 23.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETUp 91% 5.49 shares