No position
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $18.97
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.01
Polymarket Trader
SpiteLord
0x8a615978629a9201ae02bf6d101356a4ac5d7ead
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $66.97
- Realized PnL
- $22.21
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.97
- Potential profit
- $14.97
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 66°F or higher on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.89
Yes position
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Josh Williams be the Republican nominee for OH-09?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or higher on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on June 27?No 98.9% 10 shares
- Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?No 99.8% 19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 25?No 98% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 24?No 99% 14 shares
- Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes 99.9% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 24?No 98.9% 10 shares
- Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?Yes 90% 15 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Yes 99.6% 32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C on June 21?No 99% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 20?No 98.2% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?No 99% 15 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 3?No 99% 12 shares