Polymarket Trader

XIAOCHENG26

0x8a6545e70bd034ea2ef535cbfbc1f0f3699fecdf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $1.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.74K
User PnL: -$272.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$59.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$9.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $774.71
Potential profit: $774.71
User PnL: -$102.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $726.76
Potential profit: $726.76
User PnL: -$5.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $494.08
Potential profit: $494.08
User PnL: -$4.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $418.09
Potential profit: $418.09
User PnL: -$11.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $356.83
Potential profit: $356.83
User PnL: -$2.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.59
Potential profit: $304.59
User PnL: -$30.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $301.75
Potential profit: $301.75
User PnL: -$42.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$168

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $283.57
Potential profit: $283.57
User PnL: -$5.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$13.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $18.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Yes 38% 32.28 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Yes 35% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Yes 17% 49.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Yes 10% 32.29 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 7% 45 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 15.8% 35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 10.1% 35 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 7% 121.85 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 141.59 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 85.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 126.47 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 123.53 shares