Polymarket Trader

yanglay

0x8a6b967b9b47a47a2e76269208d077957d836e11

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $80.86
Realized PnL: $3.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $869.76
Potential profit: $869.76
User PnL: -$737.56

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $441.01
Potential profit: $441.01
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.37
Potential profit: $270.37
User PnL: -$146

T1 position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.04
Potential profit: $189.04
User PnL: -$98.3

Netherlands position

Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$100

Under position

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $161.29
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $80.86
Potential payout: $105.02
Potential profit: $24.15
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $30.86

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.04
Potential profit: $98.04
User PnL: -$50

Under position

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.63
Potential profit: $80.63
User PnL: -$64.5

Algeria position

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.13
Potential profit: $80.13
User PnL: -$63.3

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.22
Potential profit: $39.22
User PnL: -$20

Invictus Gaming position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

Algeria position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.97
Potential profit: $28.97
User PnL: -$16.8

Under position

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.4
Potential profit: $25.4
User PnL: -$16

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.33
Potential profit: $17.33
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 12PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $945.56

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $423.63

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.28

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.35

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.38

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.61

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.4

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.63

No position

US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.81

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.19

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.67

No position

US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.92

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.26

No position

Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.94

No position

US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.88

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.12

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.53

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.31

No position

US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.34

Yes position

Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.26

No position

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.52

No position

US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.72

No position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.46

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?

Yes 47.6% 105.02 shares
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)

Netherlands 71% 281.69 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

No 38.5% 155.84 shares
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5

Under 76% 263.16 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

No 38.5% 155.84 shares
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

Netherlands 54% 185.19 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 5% 172.41 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 58% 172.41 shares
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5

Under 62% 161.29 shares
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5

Over 72% 138.89 shares
Spread: France (-2.5)

France 56% 623.09 shares
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

No 32.7% 1,106.59 shares