Polymarket Trader

0x8a6C31D620BC18980AFFC0b4e1B0B2CD1803fc59-1771834915195

0x8a6c31d620bc18980affc0b4e1b0b2cd1803fc59

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.85K
Realized PnL: $7.23K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $453.99
Potential payout: $36.32K
Potential profit: $35.87K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$45.98

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.42K
Potential profit: $10.42K
User PnL: -$166.78

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.5K
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.7%
Current value: $2.47K
Potential payout: $6.93K
Potential profit: $4.46K
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: -$28.4

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.99K
Potential profit: $5.99K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $863.4
Potential payout: $5.15K
Potential profit: $4.29K
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: -$136.59

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.15K
Potential profit: $5.15K
User PnL: -$262.49

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.04K
Potential profit: $5.04K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $2.74K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $2.51K
User PnL: -$100.04

Yes position

Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $61.33
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $969.44
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$5.67

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $933.33
Potential profit: $933.33
User PnL: -$700

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $571.43
Potential profit: $571.43
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.06
Potential profit: $147.06
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.73
Potential profit: $32.73
User PnL: -$18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Paraguay be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37K

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $747.62

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $699.57

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $683.19

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $418.79

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356.74

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.17

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.08

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.96

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.99

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $161.37

Egypt position

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.87

Yes position

Will Senegal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.53

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.14

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.91

Yes position

Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.33

Morocco position

Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.65

Colombia position

Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.46

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.06

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.17

Yes position

Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.66

Yes position

Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 36.1% 5,540.17 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 83% 2.83 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 83% 4,112.24 shares
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Morocco 99.6% 3,446.53 shares
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Morocco 99.5% 3,309.55 shares
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 1% 454.54 shares
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 22% 454.55 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 3,846.15 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 69% 285.71 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35.9% 1,392.76 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 35% 285.71 shares
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Morocco 73% 136.99 shares