Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $39
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $61
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
facebbbboek14
0x8a6e5dc6f231ce371a9e739d39d5a6f74aee33dd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $84.68
- Realized PnL
- $85.45
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $23
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $17
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $1.6
N
No position
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 115m and 120m?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $15.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.7
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$8.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $19.98
- Potential profit
- $15.49
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$4.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $2.88
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28
Yes position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.96
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.2%
- Multiplier
- 5.51x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 24 be between 1,750,000 and 2,000,000?
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 24 be between 2,000,000 and 2,250,000?
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 24 be between 1,750,000 and 2,000,000?
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 27 be between 2,250,000 and 2,500,000?
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
N
No position
Will Donald Trump be shown 6-8 times at the World Cup Final?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No 80% 50 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No 81% 22.04 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes 14% 45.7 shares
- U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?Yes 19% 50 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No 84.9% 14 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 32.4% 50 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No 15% 100 shares
- Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?No 50% 20 shares
- Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?No 67.7% 100 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes 1.7% 100 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No 97.5% 199.99 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?No 81% 200 shares