Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $101.6
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $2
Polymarket Trader
0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604
0x8a98109fb0f1d87d9bfcb4486ba3587b95c51b92
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.36K
- Realized PnL
- $52.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$21.4
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$685.84
No position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$12.27
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $578.92
- Potential payout
- $3.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.41K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$77.38
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.99K
- User PnL
- -$30.03
Yes position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $87.82
- Potential payout
- $3.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$636.26
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.99K
- Potential profit
- $3.99K
- User PnL
- -$53.5
Yes position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.91K
- Potential profit
- $3.91K
- User PnL
- -$22.33
Yes position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.76K
- Potential profit
- $3.76K
- User PnL
- -$369.5
Yes position
JD Vance out as VP by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $12.53
- Potential payout
- $3.58K
- Potential profit
- $3.57K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$41.18
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $1.25K
- Potential payout
- $3.42K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $130.17
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $1.32K
- Potential payout
- $3.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.02K
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $77.79
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $285
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $435
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$18.3
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $1.41K
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$26.34
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.91K
- Potential profit
- $2.91K
- User PnL
- -$84.34
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $300.41
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $4.13
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $2.66K
- User PnL
- -$41.54
No position
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- User PnL
- -$8.74
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $145.21
- Potential payout
- $2.42K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$116.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- $2.71K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $1.88K
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
Y
Yes position
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 91.7% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 91.8% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 91.9% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 92% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 92.1% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 25.6% 15.4 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 92.2% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 92.3% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 92.6% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 92.4% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 92.5% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 74.6% 15 shares