Polymarket Trader

0x8AaDf795C97aa94dD5962F24C76988c5cA15A30e-1775259130429

0x8aadf795c97aa94dd5962f24c76988c5ca15a30e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.2
Realized PnL: $2.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $13.2
Potential payout: $498.12
Potential profit: $484.92
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$87.8

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $187.5
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.53
Potential profit: $186.53
User PnL: -$141.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.92
Potential profit: $79.92
User PnL: -$5

Rebecca Sramkova position

Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Taylor Townsend vs Rebecca Sramkova

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.98
Potential profit: $45.98
User PnL: -$40

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.23
Potential profit: $44.23
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.18
Potential profit: $28.18
User PnL: -$4.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$1

Under position

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.66
Potential profit: $5.66
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.05
Potential profit: $4.05
User PnL: -$2.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $2.33
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $1.45
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $412.26

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.3

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.57

Yes position

Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.95

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.06

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.93

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.51

No position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

No 20.3% 498.12 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.2% 10,152.44 shares
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 AND Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 AND Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

2% 485.49 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

1.2% 404.17 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? AND Will England win on 2026-07-05?

1% 971 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? AND Will England win on 2026-07-05?

2.1% 462.38 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? AND Will England win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

2.3% 424.8 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? AND Will England win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

1.5% 657.9 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

1.9% 499.59 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? AND Will England win on 2026-07-05?

4.5% 214.56 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? AND Will England win on 2026-07-05?

1.7% 571.18 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? AND Will France win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?

0.7% 692.86 shares