Yes position
Iran coup attempt by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $37.08
Polymarket Trader
Ormsby
0x8ab9a21a0a94cd79a9660ef7d7cdf3fdf5e9563b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $34.47
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
N
No position
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.66
No position
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$12.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $37.08
N
No position
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.66
No position
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$12.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran coup attempt by December 31?Yes 13% 927 shares
- Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?Yes 5% 966 shares
- U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?No 90% 405 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?No 93.7% 480 shares
- Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No 92% 270 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?No 94.1% 270 shares