Polymarket Trader

MankPredict

@0xmank

0x8ac3a558f884566ce851f402bf7e69dd90a716f6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.41K
Realized PnL: $6.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 50
Closed positions: 50
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.96K
Potential profit: $106.96K
User PnL: -$127.82

Yes position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.34K
Potential profit: $16.34K
User PnL: -$336.47

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $3.19K
Potential payout: $6.72K
Potential profit: $3.53K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$905.27

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.87K
Potential profit: $5.87K
User PnL: -$11.19

Yes position

Will Frank Brannan win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Erick Lindgren win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Josh Arieh win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.96K
Potential profit: $4.96K
User PnL: -$4.96

Yes position

Will Charlie Hook win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.28K
Potential profit: $4.28K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will "11.22.63" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.98K
Potential profit: $3.98K
User PnL: -$3.98

Yes position

Will Bryn Kenney win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $3.08K
User PnL: -$1.23K

Yes position

Will Shaun Deeb win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Scott Seiver win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $2.07K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Vinny Lingham win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.69K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $221.08
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$520.98

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Blue Prince win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Dylan Flashner win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Dan 'Jungleman' Cates win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 26?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Borderlands 4 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Doom: The Dark Ages win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 21?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 24?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Richard Seymour win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Johnnie Vibes win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 20?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 23?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $200 on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Matt Salsberg win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Mario Kart World win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brazil God win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Abracadabra by Lady Gaga be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 27?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Sean Winter win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tyler Montoya win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jason Calacanis win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Brown University shooter be arrested on December 25?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Nick Wright" win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will T.J. Lavin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Igor Kurganov win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $995.56

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $762.32

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.67

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295.82

Yes position

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $281.58

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.36

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: November

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.56

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.3

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.36

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.7

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $136.71

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.53

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.69

No position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.74

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.38

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.67

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.05

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.89

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.63

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.03

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.25

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.6

Yes position

Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.33

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.07

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.68

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.08

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.06

No position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.6

Yes position

Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.9

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.05

Yes position

Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.6

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.63

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.94

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.57

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.3

Yes position

Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Yes 99.4% 400 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 99.9% 700 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Yes 88% 400 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

No 94.5% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 98.9% 512.44 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 46% 60 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 54% 40 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 12% 3,200 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 61% 2,598.73 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 61% 3,078.42 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 60% 117.11 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 78% 3,600 shares