Polymarket Trader

wastrel

0x8ace6b1016214876667444d2b3055065da996069

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.34K
Realized PnL: $33.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $706.74
Potential payout: $19.63K
Potential profit: $18.92K
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$106.09

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.12K
Potential profit: $12.12K
User PnL: -$213.97

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.52K
Potential profit: $7.52K
User PnL: -$2.89K

Avengers: Doomsday position

Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?

Ends Dec 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $1.63K
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $201.59
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$82.22

Wolves position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$307.99

OpTic Texas position

Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO7) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$574.99

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $822.11
Potential profit: $822.11
User PnL: -$262.99

OpTic Texas position

Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $773.17
Potential profit: $773.17
User PnL: -$672.61

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $735.86
Potential profit: $735.86
User PnL: -$11

OpTic Texas position

Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO7) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Minor Playoffs

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $563.32
Potential profit: $563.32
User PnL: -$363.69

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $363.64
Potential profit: $363.64
User PnL: -$200

Magic position

Pistons vs. Magic

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310.93
Potential profit: $310.93
User PnL: -$240

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $301.16
Potential profit: $301.16
User PnL: -$235

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.53
Potential profit: $296.53
User PnL: -$120

Miami Heretics position

Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.18
Potential profit: $259.18
User PnL: -$200

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.05
Potential profit: $227.05
User PnL: -$160

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.53
Potential profit: $210.53
User PnL: -$120

Celtics position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.66
Potential profit: $198.66
User PnL: -$33

Rockets position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.07
Potential profit: $170.07
User PnL: -$50

Los Angeles Thieves position

Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.05
Potential profit: $163.05
User PnL: -$150

Rockets position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $161.29
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.18
Potential profit: $149.18
User PnL: -$100

Lakers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Nuggets position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.46
Potential profit: $117.46
User PnL: -$70

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2K

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.13K

Seahawks position

Rams vs. Seahawks

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17K

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8K

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

OpTic Texas position

Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $959.54

Texans position

Chargers vs. Texans

Ends Jan 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $944

Commanders position

Commanders vs. Lions

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $852.64

Yes position

Will "Marty Supreme" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $781.45

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $747.68

Yes position

Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $718.64

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $712.56

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $697.74

Falcons position

Rams vs. Falcons

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $669.32

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $639.8

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500.57

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $477.09

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $439.92

49ers position

49ers vs. Eagles

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $435.59

No position

Will Los Angeles Rams draft Makai Lemon in the 2026 pro football draft?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $422.55

Commanders position

Commanders vs. Buccaneers

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.08

OpTic Texas position

Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $396.54

OpTic Texas position

Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 1 Major Playoffs

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.51

Eagles position

Rams vs. Eagles

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $369.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier

OpTic Texas 87% 773.17 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 80.2% 847.24 shares
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO7) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Minor Playoffs

OpTic Texas 64.6% 563.32 shares
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Minor Playoffs

OpTic Texas 99.9% 367.19 shares
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Minor Playoffs

OpTic Texas 95.9% 85.5 shares
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs OpTic Texas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Minor Playoffs

OpTic Texas 71% 281.69 shares
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Riyadh Falcons (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Minor Playoffs

OpTic Texas 77% 259.74 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Knicks 55% 363.64 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 71% 87.32 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 51% 19.61 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 51% 19.61 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 51% 39.22 shares