Polymarket Trader

0x21AB78e412707923a1e2A174059Fa16F00bad539-1776840902561

0x8ad0336d9365a5e521a76f961ddd0a6f80e8175e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.17
Realized PnL: $20.84
Win rate: 73.3%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $9.67
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $9.17
Potential profit: $8.54
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $5.34
Potential payout: $7.58
Potential profit: $2.23
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $0.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

T1 position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $2.97
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $2.29
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.03

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $4.15
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.85
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.88
Potential profit: $4.88
User PnL: -$2

Under position

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $3.63
Potential payout: $4.05
Potential profit: $0.43
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.63

Korea Republic position

Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$1

Over position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.69
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21

Team Liquid position

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Over position

Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Brazil position

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Morocco position

Spread: Morocco (-1.5)

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40.1%
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$0.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 40% 6.43 shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

T1 57% 5.26 shares
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5 AND Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

22.3% 13.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Up 42% 4.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Up 58% 3.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Up 78% 6.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Up 9% 8.57 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Up 16% 6.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Up 43% 2.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Down 55% 1.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Down 66% 1.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Up 48% 2.04 shares