Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $59.34
- Potential payout
- $276
- Potential profit
- $216.66
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Polymarket Trader
nath233lesly
0x8ad22137acb6770d50f1e6e9f429abd118639116
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $59.34
- Realized PnL
- $24.97
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $3.73
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 4–11?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC July 1-7?
Ends Jul 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Multiplier
- 8.81x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Fluminense win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Solana dip to $100 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes 22% 276 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 317 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 317 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes 10.7% 170 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 14% 210 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 13% 373 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes 10.1% 332 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes 10.1% 430 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 73% 212 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 24.8% 62 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 35% 156 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 98.4% 172 shares