Polymarket Trader

L2mibia

0x8ad9731fd7a3e65f85ab27559d662eac8b64eed0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $48.61
Realized PnL: -$3.68
Win rate: 56.5%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$49.9

No position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $27.78
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.78

No position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.83
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.3%
Multiplier: 5.18x
User PnL: $0.88

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Illinois Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will Barcelona win La Liga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$13.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?

No 96% 20.83 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

No 90% 27.78 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?

No 95% 15.79 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

No 96% 31.25 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?

No 96.4% 22.76 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 95% 21.05 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18.9% 110.49 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?

No 89% 22.47 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18.1% 110.5 shares
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Yes 76% 26.66 shares
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Yes 75% 26.67 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 97.5% 20.51 shares