Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $262.5
- Potential payout
- $35K
- Potential profit
- $34.74K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Polymarket Trader
Fridius
@FridiusTrader
0x8adf0798feeea5dc27c7d08307db5f53a47648cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.03K
- Realized PnL
- $24.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $620.75
- Potential payout
- $650
- Potential profit
- $29.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.25
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $474.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $25.75
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $348.43
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $1.57
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $47.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $2.75
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $44.17
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $38.3
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.94
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $33.39
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $1.61
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.64
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $21.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $3.88
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $21.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $23.63
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $975.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $959.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $952.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $899.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $897.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $855.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $854.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $799.93
Yes position
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $799.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $781.91
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $778.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $776.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $743.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $665.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $662.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5Under 91% 2,500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 95% 650 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 99.3% 350 shares
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5Under 82% 1,000 shares
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5Under 82% 500 shares
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5Under 80% 500 shares
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5Under 79% 500 shares
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to ScoreNo 71% 100 shares
- Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBrazil 71% 5,281 shares
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes 61% 2,050 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Yes 72% 500 shares
- Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 61% 2,150.91 shares