Polymarket Trader

AnonArbiter

0x8ae95385b347dc82351fdaad1b4839cc1bc6ea8e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $155.94
Realized PnL: $18.73
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.5
Potential profit: $17.5
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.07
Potential profit: $17.07
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.74
Potential profit: $16.74
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.66
Potential profit: $16.66
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15.9
Potential payout: $15.9
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $8.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.55
Potential profit: $15.55
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15.55
Potential payout: $15.55
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $8.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.21
Potential profit: $15.21
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.21
Potential profit: $15.21
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.89
Potential payout: $14.89
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.63
Potential payout: $14.63
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.28
Potential profit: $14.28
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.17
Potential payout: $14.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.17

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.72
Potential payout: $13.72
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.46
Potential profit: $13.46
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.46
Potential payout: $13.46
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.46
Potential profit: $13.46
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.46
Potential payout: $13.46
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.46

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.46
Potential profit: $13.46
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.43
Potential profit: $13.43
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.2
Potential payout: $13.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.2
Potential profit: $13.2
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.96
Potential payout: $12.96
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.94

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24?

Yes 99.8% 12.05 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 24?

Yes 99.3% 1 shares