E1weatasdlkfjadfajfjasdf

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.32
Potential profit: $73.32
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.68
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.98
Potential profit: $49.98
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C or below on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.96
Potential profit: $49.96
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C or higher on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.66
Potential profit: $36.66
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.66
Potential profit: $36.66
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.66
Potential profit: $36.66
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.66
Potential profit: $36.66
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.66
Potential profit: $36.66
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.65
Potential profit: $36.65
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.56
Potential profit: $36.56
User PnL: -$0.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $12.86

No position

Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $4.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?