Y
Yes position
Will Japan be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $75
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$25
Polymarket Trader
MadThursday
0x8af95ac62c0ab22aae41767c3482f72797b4d66d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $75
- Realized PnL
- -$44.06
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $988.78
- Potential profit
- $988.78
- User PnL
- -$150
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.08
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$86.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Yes 7% 1,428.57 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 33% 420.78 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 3% 2,142.85 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 23% 420.78 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?Yes 15.2% 988.78 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 7% 2,142.86 shares