No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $45.14
- Potential payout
- $45.44
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Polymarket Trader
0x8b03...211f
0x8b03591668f750bf0d7393b4a15a54b1188e211f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $575.6
- Realized PnL
- $8.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $40.32
- Potential payout
- $40.81
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
N
No position
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $40.57
- Potential payout
- $40.76
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $40.5
- Potential payout
- $40.66
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- -$0
Spain position
Spread: Portugal (-3.5)
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $40.36
- Potential payout
- $40.65
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $40.34
- Potential payout
- $40.64
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- -$0.06
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40.58
- Potential payout
- $40.6
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40.52
- Potential payout
- $40.54
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40.46
- Potential payout
- $40.48
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $40.42
- Potential payout
- $40.48
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $40.4
- Potential payout
- $40.46
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $40.35
- Potential payout
- $40.41
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $39.64
- Potential payout
- $40.22
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
England-Mexico game rescheduled to a different date?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $34.99
- Potential payout
- $35.42
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $5.03
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5.01
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- -$0.01
United States position
Spread: Belgium (-4.5)
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.01
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on July 4?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
N
No position
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Norway?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Luis Díaz: 3+ goals
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
N
No position
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 0 Egypt?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of June 29 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
N
No position
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Under position
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
N
No position
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 3 Morocco?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 4?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
N
No position
Exact Score: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC 3 - 3 Gangwon FC?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Argentina position
Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel closes its airspace by July 7?No 99.6% 40.66 shares
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)United States 99.6% 1.01 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6?No 99.8% 40.41 shares
- England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?Yes 99.3% 40.52 shares
- Will the price of Solana be above $90 on July 6?No 99.5% 40.22 shares
- Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on July 6?No 99.4% 5.01 shares
- Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?No 99% 40.48 shares
- Spread: Portugal (-3.5)Spain 99.3% 40.65 shares
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?No 99.8% 5.03 shares
- Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goalsNo 99.8% 40.46 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 6?No 99.4% 40.64 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 6?No 99% 40.81 shares