Polymarket Trader

0x8B14AD92C4f215201f80D9c3d3AD1aC258377b1A-1737986536421

0x8b14ad92c4f215201f80d9c3d3ad1ac258377b1a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $5.65
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority?

Ends May 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 46.2% 15.95 shares
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 37.1% 15.96 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Yes 98.7% 6.01 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Yes 97.5% 6.01 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 98.8% 3.96 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 95.1% 3.96 shares
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 94.6% 5.31 shares
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 94.2% 5.32 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 41.2% 11.58 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 41% 11.59 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 83.4% 3.28 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 69.7% 3.29 shares