Polymarket Trader

lefreak123

0x8b16062ee636906fecc9fb071291182f07e4961f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.57K
Realized PnL: $15.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $995.39
Potential payout: $6.24K
Potential profit: $5.25K
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $22.15

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.7%
Current value: $695.75
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $4.8K
Multiplier: 7.91x
User PnL: $94.25

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $750.75
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $4.75K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$172.25

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $4.42K
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: $159.25

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$700

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $164.91

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $430
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.57K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $170

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $1.77K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $230
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $550

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $175.85
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $498.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
User PnL: -$1K

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $82.5
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$172.5

No position

James Comey arrested by April 29?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.46K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$294.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $703.61
Potential profit: $703.61
User PnL: -$400

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $409.87
Potential payout: $565.34
Potential profit: $155.47
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $212.6

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $170.97
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $129.03
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $77.97

No position

Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $130.81
Potential payout: $206
Potential profit: $75.19
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $79.31

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $198.9
Potential profit: $198.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$49.62

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $188.58
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$63.8

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $11.94
Potential payout: $34.61
Potential profit: $22.67
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.87

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97K

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $846.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $841.85

No position

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $748.53

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $653.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $629.97

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $531.46

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $494

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.65

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.56

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $280.08

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $195.78

No position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.97

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.4

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $143.6

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $141.19

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 99.5% 1,168.45 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 14.5% 1,626.66 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 12.4% 446.92 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 50% 381.35 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 59% 381.36 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 31% 300 shares
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

No 17% 1,500 shares
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 10% 200 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 50% 400 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.5% 1,500 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 1,500 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 1,500 shares