Polymarket Trader

JoeRox

0x8b1ee244c212a1d25f9932dfa6013da64f79a9d3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.36
Realized PnL: $85.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165.17
Potential profit: $165.17
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.27
Potential profit: $55.27
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.72
Potential profit: $44.72
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $29.22
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$2.97

Yes position

Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.12
Potential profit: $25.12
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.99
Potential profit: $24.99
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $1.81
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $20.92
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: -$3.19

Yes position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $14.3
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$3.67

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $14.93
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $13.29
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.46
Potential profit: $13.46
User PnL: -$3.96

Yes position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.65
Potential profit: $11.65
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $10.31
Potential profit: $8.65
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.79
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.25

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 23?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: $5.13

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" 2+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Dictator" during oil executive meetings on Friday?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 10.31 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

No 2.5% 40 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

No 89% 1.12 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

No 92% 1.09 shares
Ebola case in the US by June 30?

No 68% 1.47 shares
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?

No 92% 1.09 shares
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Yes 8.9% 44.72 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?

No 0.1% 1,000 shares
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Yes 42.9% 11.65 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Yes 62% 3.23 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 65% 1.54 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 25?

Yes 52% 1.86 shares