Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $851.06
- Potential profit
- $851.06
- User PnL
- -$400
Polymarket Trader
FrancisCara
0x8b2f25d8a7cc725fdef7ee2ead8b9c327cfff0e7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.49
- Realized PnL
- $451.8
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Roman Safiullin position
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.63
- Potential profit
- $54.63
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $13.93
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$8.68
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $2.42
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $5.78
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Atlanta Braves position
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.67
Trail Blazers position
Trail Blazers vs. Suns
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.69
Philip Henning position
Centurion 2: Philip Henning vs Alexander Donski
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.58
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Rockets position
Kings vs. Rockets
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will XRP reach $2.80 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will JD Vance clap between 20–29 times during the State of the Union?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes 47% 851.06 shares
- Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis GalarneauRoman Safiullin 54.9% 54.63 shares
- Centurion 2: Philip Henning vs Alexander DonskiPhilip Henning 76% 131.58 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 61% 8.2 shares
- Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 55% 9.09 shares
- Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia PhilliesAtlanta Braves 48% 508.61 shares
- Trail Blazers vs. SunsTrail Blazers 42% 248.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in April 2026?No 99.9% 2.77 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No 94.7% 2.11 shares
- Will XRP reach $2.80 in March?No 99.4% 7.04 shares
- Kings vs. RocketsRockets 88% 2.69 shares
- Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?Yes 97.6% 3.07 shares