Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x8b31A4EEF3044a01123783A732b09F0B93cEC61e-1782806447905
0x8b31a4eef3044a01123783a732b09f0b93cec61e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.35
- Realized PnL
- $105.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $11.19
- Potential payout
- $22.6
- Potential profit
- $11.41
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.89
- Potential profit
- $12.89
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 7?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $11.76
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.84
- Potential profit
- $7.84
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $7.09
- Potential profit
- $5.04
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $5.97
- Potential payout
- $6.74
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.71
- Potential profit
- $6.71
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.2
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.92
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.77
- Potential profit
- $3.77
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.14
- Potential profit
- $3.14
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.49
- Potential profit
- $2.49
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.4
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $2.27
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 6?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 7?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 7?Yes 51% 3.92 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 28.2% 7.09 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 7?Yes 17% 11.76 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 7?Yes 35.5% 17.74 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 22.1% 30.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETUp 51% 1.96 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 26.1% 7.66 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 7?Yes 22.3% 4.48 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETUp 38% 2.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETUp 48% 2.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETUp 90% 2.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETUp 45% 2.22 shares