No position
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $971.51
- Potential profit
- $971.51
- User PnL
- -$38
Polymarket Trader
polymonkey
0x8b34dece33b941a3b1547ef37e21e3c3d52787fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.43
- Realized PnL
- -$52.48
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $412.5
- Potential profit
- $412.5
- User PnL
- -$65
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $214.46
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$2.07
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $146.14
- Potential profit
- $146.14
- User PnL
- -$49.98
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $13.24
- Potential payout
- $98.1
- Potential profit
- $84.85
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$6.76
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.24
- Potential profit
- $95.24
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.1%
- Current value
- $8.67
- Potential payout
- $45.5
- Potential profit
- $36.83
- Multiplier
- 5.25x
- User PnL
- -$7.71
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $5.59
- Potential payout
- $27.93
- Potential profit
- $22.34
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.18
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Yes position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.13
Yes position
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- ICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes 1.6% 116.66 shares
- ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Yes 13% 208.33 shares
- Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No 2% 902.55 shares
- Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No 29% 68.97 shares
- ICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes 15% 66.67 shares
- ICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2.3% 217.39 shares
- Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 20.4% 98.1 shares
- ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Yes 12% 208.33 shares
- Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?Yes 1.5% 85.31 shares
- Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?Yes 40.4% 24.78 shares
- Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?Yes 41.3% 60.53 shares