Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $9.26K
- Potential payout
- $36.38K
- Potential profit
- $27.12K
- Multiplier
- 3.93x
- User PnL
- -$911.75
Polymarket Trader
Scalpoor
0x8b3689e5ab85936e3e82aadb683f8b45703da393
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $75.91K
- Realized PnL
- $3.92K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $6.04K
- Potential payout
- $23.69K
- Potential profit
- $17.65K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $408.29
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $11.57K
- Potential payout
- $11.66K
- Potential profit
- $87.45
- User PnL
- $1.61K
No position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $9.88K
- Potential payout
- $10.45K
- Potential profit
- $574.78
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $439.58
No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Current value
- $7.44K
- Potential payout
- $8.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $117.36
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $7.12K
- Potential payout
- $7.95K
- Potential profit
- $835.05
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $357.88
No position
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $7.43K
- Potential payout
- $7.79K
- Potential profit
- $362.12
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $395.77
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $5.11K
- Potential payout
- $5.15K
- Potential profit
- $38.64
- User PnL
- $482.11
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $3.51K
- Potential payout
- $3.56K
- Potential profit
- $51.68
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $755.68
No position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $2.58K
- Potential payout
- $2.59K
- Potential profit
- $14.25
- User PnL
- $669.91
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $100.09
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$94.29
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $1.74K
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $107.95
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $13.84
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $116.36
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $101.17
No position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $27.42
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $27.15
No position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $70
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$618.01
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $484.28
- Potential payout
- $488.43
- Potential profit
- $4.15
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $237.49
- Potential payout
- $239.77
- Potential profit
- $2.28
- User PnL
- $4.25
No position
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be below 80,000 voters?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $178.02
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $1.98
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $32.52
Yes position
Will Ashley B. Moody be the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $172.93
- Potential payout
- $177
- Potential profit
- $4.07
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.78
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 20% and 25% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $135.47
- Potential payout
- $135.81
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $27.46
- Potential payout
- $39.52
- Potential profit
- $12.06
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $4.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $778.36
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $351.61
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $121.05
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $112.42
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $90.91
Yes position
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.39
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
Ends Apr 23, 2027- Implied probability
- 75%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $18.11
No position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.08
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$121.53
No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$123.22
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$550.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 97.2% 6.81 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 97.3% 217.94 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 96.3% 870.67 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 5% 85 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 22% 5,784.72 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 85% 7,952.81 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 93.6% 2,976.98 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?No 13.9% 56.19 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?No 13.2% 1,229 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No 77% 7,873.64 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?No 81.8% 51.59 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 99.3% 2,201.01 shares