Polymarket Trader

Ultranene

0x8b3f5d8cc49fcf06170a2e9572fa60272eaf5ff8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $57.68
Realized PnL: -$14.52
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $347.06
Potential profit: $347.06
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $6.44
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $185.87
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $3.94

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.06
Potential profit: $63.06
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $9.12
Potential payout: $54.42
Potential profit: $45.31
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.48
Potential profit: $46.48
User PnL: -$21.71

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $12.23
Potential payout: $46.15
Potential profit: $33.92
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $6.23

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.05
Potential profit: $45.05
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.75
Potential profit: $43.75
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.28
Potential profit: $38.28
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.1
Potential profit: $36.1
User PnL: -$7.81

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $31.75
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$4.42

Yes position

Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.12
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.78

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.19
Potential profit: $32.19
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $6.84
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $19.47
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.51
Potential profit: $25.51
User PnL: -$10

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $16.99
Potential payout: $19.42
Potential profit: $2.43
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.56

Yes position

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $3.79
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $13.45
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$6.21

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.9
Potential profit: $12.9
User PnL: -$4

No position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $9.26
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.87
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.89

Yes position

Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.36

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

No position

Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

No position

Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.18

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.81

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$6.74

Yes position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.78

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.84

Yes position

AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.06

Yes position

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.71

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.75

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.53

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 13% 46.15 shares
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Yes 19% 26.32 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 192.31 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.7% 54.42 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

No 64% 19.42 shares
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Yes 58% 17.24 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Yes 39.2% 25.51 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

No 61% 16.39 shares
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

No 54% 9.26 shares
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

No 51% 5.88 shares
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Yes 24% 8.33 shares
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 9% 33.33 shares