Polymarket Trader

Lstone16

0x8b42c0b1e49b2d0f734edd25b2306f3ec272405a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $200.91
Realized PnL: $1.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $60.18
Potential payout: $330.65
Potential profit: $270.47
Multiplier: 5.49x
User PnL: $39.18

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $311.11
Potential profit: $309.4
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $248.97
Potential profit: $248.84
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$38.93

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $123
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $77
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$15.5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $191
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $5.7
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $94.31
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.05
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$2.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.4

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.08

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.13

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.96

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: $42.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $35.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $33.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.28

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 91.9%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $30.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Yes 0.4% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?

Yes 98.3% 80 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 15.4% 400 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 19?

No 65% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?

Yes 59% 36.45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 18?

No 65.5% 100 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 8.2% 100 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?

Yes 88.1% 347.35 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 18?

Yes 33% 59.9 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?

Yes 0.6% 200 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 19?

No 73.5% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 19?

Yes 3% 11 shares