Bsau4

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.88K
Potential profit: $2.88K
User PnL: -$166.38

No position

FDA approves Sanofi's Dupixent?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: -$27.61

No position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$54.73

No position

Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$58.25

No position

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$94.07

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$221.28

No position

ChatGPT Outage by May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$150.83

No position

Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1480?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $104.94
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $999.67
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$86.14

Yes position

Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$39.94

Yes position

Will The Alternative be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$30.91

Yes position

Will Citizens’ Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$30.63

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.30 on March 13?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $914.36
Potential profit: $914.36
User PnL: -$11.39

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $900.63
Potential payout: $912.03
Potential profit: $11.4
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $306.68

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $885.6
Potential profit: $885.6
User PnL: -$70.27

No position

Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $47.03
Potential payout: $855
Potential profit: $807.98
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$12.83

Yes position

Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $853.43
Potential profit: $853.43
User PnL: -$82.85

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-08 House seat?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $55.46
Potential payout: $853.2
Potential profit: $797.74
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $4.27

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $850.94
Potential profit: $850.94
User PnL: -$89.3

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the CO-02 House seat?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $55.24
Potential payout: $849.78
Potential profit: $794.54
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$22.72

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the MN-04 House seat?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $46.36
Potential payout: $842.99
Potential profit: $796.63
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$21.07

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $60.93
Potential payout: $812.39
Potential profit: $751.46
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $9.67

Yes position

Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $796.92
Potential profit: $796.92
User PnL: -$76.39

Yes position

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $83.58
Potential payout: $796.01
Potential profit: $712.43
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $9.48

No position

Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $105.25
Potential payout: $779.64
Potential profit: $674.39
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $11.81

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $61.29
Potential payout: $766.17
Potential profit: $704.88
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$28.32

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,500 on March 8?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $762.86
Potential profit: $762.86
User PnL: -$64.28

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $749.99
Potential profit: $749.99
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $5.46
Potential payout: $728.56
Potential profit: $723.09
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$44.96

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $21.48
Potential payout: $727.98
Potential profit: $706.5
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$57.03

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $725.52
Potential profit: $725.52
User PnL: -$10.18

No position

Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $100.39
Potential payout: $717.04
Potential profit: $616.65
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$18.53

Yes position

Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $712.88
Potential profit: $712.88
User PnL: -$547.89

No position

Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $46.05
Potential payout: $708.53
Potential profit: $662.48
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $3.54

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $705.8
Potential profit: $705.8
User PnL: -$119.86

No position

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $696.9
Potential profit: $696.9
User PnL: -$143.91

Yes position

Will Inuit Ataqatigiit be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $685.19
Potential profit: $685.19
User PnL: -$57.69

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $683.34
Potential profit: $683.34
User PnL: -$23.29

Yes position

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $669.54
Potential profit: $669.54
User PnL: -$111.51

No position

Will Sandro Parcaroli win the 2026 Macerata mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $649.23
Potential profit: $649.23
User PnL: -$58.43

Yes position

Will Sabih Khan be the next CEO of Apple?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $637.55
Potential profit: $637.55
User PnL: -$15.75

No position

Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $633.35
Potential profit: $633.35
User PnL: -$100.76

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $64,500 on March 8?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $631.31
Potential profit: $631.31
User PnL: -$9.41

No position

Will the Republican Party win the CA-05 House seat?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $90.54
Potential payout: $624.4
Potential profit: $533.86
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$22.84

Yes position

StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $99.67
Potential payout: $622.94
Potential profit: $523.27
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $39.6

Yes position

Will Arthur Rinderknech win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $621.85
Potential profit: $621.85
User PnL: -$379.42

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $613.18
Potential profit: $613.18
User PnL: -$78.24

Yes position

Ukraine hits Moscow by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $612.44
Potential profit: $612.44
User PnL: -$49

Yes position

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 10.8%
Current value: $65.78
Potential payout: $611.91
Potential profit: $546.13
Multiplier: 9.30x
User PnL: $19.35

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $606.97
Potential profit: $606.97
User PnL: -$71.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

ChatGPT Outage by April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $430.17

Yes position

Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.78

No position

Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.3

No position

Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $326.63

No position

Will Vitality win the BLAST Open London 2025 tournament?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.12

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $305.36

No position

Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $304.09

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.51

No position

Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $276.13

Costa position

Rodriguez vs. Costa

Ends Mar 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.74

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $271.58

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.74

No position

Will 'A Working Man' gross between 11-14m on opening weekend?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.54

No position

Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.53

Yes position

Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.64

No position

Will Trump say "Hamas" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.32

Delhi position

Delhi Capitals vs Lucknow Super Giants

Ends Mar 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.05

No position

Will Elon say "Billion" 10+ times during Baier interview on Thursday?

Ends Mar 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1AM ET

Ends Sep 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $229.69

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $226.34

Yes position

Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.66

Yes position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $222.98

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $222.48

Up position

Solana Up or Down - September 18, 5AM ET

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $216.83

Yes position

Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.36

No position

Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $214.54

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $214.34

Yes position

Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $214.03

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.5

No position

Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $207.1

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.69

No position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.9

Yes position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.81

No position

Will AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.87

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2AM ET

Ends Sep 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.38

Yes position

Will Meta (META) close above $640 on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.36

Yes position

Will Mexico win Miss Universe 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.07

Down position

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.55

No position

Will 'Snow White' gross between 44-49m on opening weekend?

Ends Mar 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.09

Yes position

Will Elon say "Billion" 10+ times during Baier interview on Thursday?

Ends Mar 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $179.11

Henderson Silver Knights position

AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Coachella Valley Firebirds

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.85

No position

Circle IPO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $175

No position

Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.3

Lucknow position

Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giants

Ends Mar 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.65

No position

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $167.9

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?