0x8B46696e3dff948b89d677a788180c2c6292e83C-1767643095974

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.43

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $15.38
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $734.63
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $38.81
Potential payout: $369.62
Potential profit: $330.81
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$11.19

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 58.2%
Current value: $128.54
Potential payout: $221.05
Potential profit: $92.51
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $87.54

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.41
Potential profit: $216.41
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $28.78
Potential payout: $144.25
Potential profit: $115.47
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: $8.78

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.43
Potential profit: $134.43
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.74
Potential profit: $114.74
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.32
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$9.41

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.49
Potential profit: $86.49
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.14
Potential profit: $85.14
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.54
Potential profit: $80.54
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $34.62
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $42.31
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $24.62

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.06
Potential profit: $67.06
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.52
Potential profit: $64.52
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $2.86
Potential payout: $40.65
Potential profit: $37.79
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$7.14

No position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $4.42
Potential payout: $31.58
Potential profit: $27.16
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $7.16
Potential payout: $19.61
Potential profit: $12.45
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$2.84

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.32
Potential profit: $19.32
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.24

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $155.45

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.29

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.07

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.69

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.81

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.18

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.66

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.99

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.48

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.75

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.08

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.82

No position

Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.83

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.25

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.85

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET