Yes position
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $723.18
- Potential payout
- $57.85K
- Potential profit
- $57.13K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $151.35
Polymarket Trader
0x8B5A2A371DE832fC1750c1E1E97Fa5496C30B95D-1761755360740
0x8b5a2a371de832fc1750c1e1e97fa5496c30b95d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.36K
- Realized PnL
- $4.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $16.47
- Potential payout
- $4.71K
- Potential profit
- $4.69K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$37.51
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.7K
- Potential profit
- $4.7K
- User PnL
- -$47.99
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.26K
- Potential profit
- $4.26K
- User PnL
- -$32
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- User PnL
- -$43
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $24.8
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.96K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.19
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $466.52
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $302.53
Yes position
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $60.37
- Potential payout
- $710.26
- Potential profit
- $649.88
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$77.63
Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $665
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $659.35
- Potential profit
- $659.35
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $636.36
- Potential profit
- $636.36
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $571.43
- Potential profit
- $568.86
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $558.37
- Potential profit
- $558.37
- User PnL
- -$33.33
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $498.25
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.82
- Potential payout
- $454.82
- Potential profit
- $453
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.18
Down position
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $421.86
- Potential profit
- $421.86
- User PnL
- -$153
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $58.18
- Potential payout
- $415.6
- Potential profit
- $357.41
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$65.81
Yes position
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $397.8
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $377.99
- Potential profit
- $377.99
- User PnL
- -$24
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $369.12
- Potential profit
- $369.12
- User PnL
- -$29.31
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $363.64
- Potential profit
- $361.64
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.16
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.91
Down position
Solana Up or Down - March 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.39
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.14
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $111.55
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $120k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.8
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.81
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.29
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.55
Down position
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.26
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.96
Yes position
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.45
Down position
Solana Up or Down on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.28
Down position
XRP Up or Down on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.15
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $44.42
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.29
San Francisco Giants position
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?Yes 10% 40 shares
- Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 86% 13.95 shares
- Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Yes 31% 16.13 shares
- Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Yes 31% 48.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETDown 50% 50 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.8% 166.67 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 20% 75 shares
- Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes 48% 10.42 shares
- Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Yes 8.6% 58.14 shares
- Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 2.2% 461.69 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 18% 216.67 shares