Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $228.03K
- Potential payout
- $2.01M
- Potential profit
- $1.78M
- Multiplier
- 8.81x
- User PnL
- $57.22K
Polymarket Trader
Joe-Biden
0x8b5a7da2fdf239b51b9c68a2a1a35bb156d200f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $341.74K
- Realized PnL
- $2.99M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump resign today?
Ends Sep 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6M
- Potential profit
- $1.6M
- User PnL
- -$7.72K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $639K
- Potential profit
- $639K
- User PnL
- -$38.94K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $598.05K
- Potential profit
- $598.05K
- User PnL
- -$2.39K
Yes position
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $575.94K
- Potential profit
- $575.94K
- User PnL
- -$157.97K
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $12.58K
- Potential payout
- $559.08K
- Potential profit
- $546.5K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$232.58
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $70.73K
- Potential payout
- $533.78K
- Potential profit
- $463.06K
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$16.54K
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $313.12K
- Potential profit
- $313.12K
- User PnL
- -$121.12K
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $23.9K
- Potential payout
- $281.15K
- Potential profit
- $257.25K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$3.36K
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $221.13K
- Potential profit
- $221.13K
- User PnL
- -$32.93K
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $200K
- User PnL
- -$53K
No position
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120K
- Potential profit
- $120K
- User PnL
- -$80.4K
Yes position
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.39K
- Potential profit
- $110.39K
- User PnL
- -$16.44K
Raiders position
Chargers vs. Raiders
Ends Sep 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.11K
- Potential profit
- $108.11K
- User PnL
- -$40K
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.04K
- Potential profit
- $103.04K
- User PnL
- -$38.45K
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $6.5K
- Potential payout
- $100.01K
- Potential profit
- $93.51K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$3.45K
Yes position
Will Galatasaray SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$20K
Yes position
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$20K
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-17?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$14K
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$9K
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$15K
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.37K
- Potential profit
- $96.37K
- User PnL
- -$10.6K
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85K
- Potential profit
- $85K
- User PnL
- -$58.65K
No position
Will France win on 2025-11-13?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85K
- Potential profit
- $85K
- User PnL
- -$14.45K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $932.1K
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.66K
Yes position
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.6K
Yes position
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.66K
No position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.56K
Spain position
Euro Finals: Spain vs. England
Ends Jul 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.03K
Spain position
Spain vs. Germany - Who will advance?
Ends Jul 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.37K
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.42K
England position
Netherlands vs. England - Who will advance?
Ends Jul 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.13K
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.83K
Yes position
Will Ukraine win?
Ends Jun 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.82K
Spain position
Spain vs. France - Who will advance?
Ends Jul 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.14K
Yes position
Will Austria win?
Ends Jun 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76K
Yes position
Will Georgia win?
Ends Jun 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.47K
Buccaneers position
Buccaneers vs. Texans
Ends Sep 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58K
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.13K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.93K
Yes position
Will France win?
Ends Jul 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.77K
Yes position
Will Spain win?
Ends Jun 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.37K
No position
Will England win the 2024 Euros?
Ends Jul 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.61K
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.31K
PSG position
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance)
Ends Jul 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.24K
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.25K
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.93K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?Yes 20% 100,000 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Yes 39% 100,000 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Yes 39% 113,118.97 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Yes 26% 12,826.56 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Yes 26% 87,173.44 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 13,316.56 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 166,191.64 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 93,910.67 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Yes 27% 100,000 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 27% 2,029.26 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 9.8% 30,458.87 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?Yes 46% 20,000 shares