No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $449.43
- Potential profit
- $449.43
- User PnL
- -$373.82
Polymarket Trader
LostInTheMuzic
0x8b72a7c4e859e3dd6f5a38243eedd1022d443098
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $756.82
- Realized PnL
- $1.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $374
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $26
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $56
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $129.05
- Potential payout
- $160.31
- Potential profit
- $31.26
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $10.38
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $100.68
- Potential payout
- $136.99
- Potential profit
- $36.3
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $75.35
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $34.65
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $107.95
- Potential profit
- $99.86
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $49.92
- Potential payout
- $86.81
- Potential profit
- $36.9
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $19.73
- Potential payout
- $54.05
- Potential profit
- $34.32
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.41
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.57
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.89
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.32
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.8
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.1
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.09
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.44
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.92
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.7
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.33
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $63.8
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.85
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.27
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $46.73
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $40.27
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.47
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.26
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.03
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.52
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.79
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.7
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $26.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 73% 136.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 68% 83.69 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes 8% 62.5 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 64% 31.25 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 61% 65.57 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 79% 128 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 96.7% 174.49 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?Yes 11% 45.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 76% 30 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 71% 25.99 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 12.3% 45.97 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 94.9% 64.53 shares