Polymarket Trader

keywordw

0x8b7a1bfd8083c9f0ec3a860cdf22b90363105746

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.85
Realized PnL: $368.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $383.33
Potential profit: $383.33
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $201.27
Potential profit: $201.27
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $187.5
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.35
Potential profit: $79.35
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.23
Potential profit: $43.23
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 62°F or higher on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.11
Potential profit: $32.11
User PnL: -$12.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $31.55
Potential profit: $28.71
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump say "College" 10+ times during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will Trump say "Gold" during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Claude go down 6-8 times in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.8
Potential profit: $29.8
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.85
Potential profit: $23.85
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.47
Potential profit: $22.47
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $21.6
Potential profit: $21.59
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.46
Potential profit: $21.46
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.12

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

No position

Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.33

No position

Will Trump say "Where is" 3+ times during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.22

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be 84°F or higher on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.76

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.55

No position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.47

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4?

Yes 63% 4.76 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 2?

Yes 6% 3.32 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 3?

Yes 9.5% 31.55 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 2?

Yes 4.6% 21.6 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 2?

Yes 6.5% 15.43 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 2?

Yes 6.4% 15.51 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 3?

Yes 52% 5.77 shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 3?

Yes 47% 6.38 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?

Yes 40% 7.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 1?

Yes 6% 12.69 shares
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 2?

Yes 7% 14.29 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 3?

Yes 53% 5.66 shares