Polymarket Trader

SAT.utxo

0x8b9b1c7f48394b3a805cece249f59da9fb27cf47

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $445.3
Realized PnL: $141.35
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $73.36
Potential payout: $729.93
Potential profit: $656.57
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$26.64

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $165.9
Potential payout: $206.08
Potential profit: $40.19
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $15.46

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $95.9
Potential payout: $163.93
Potential profit: $68.03
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$4.1

Yes position

Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $151.52
User PnL: -$50

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $110.14
Potential payout: $144.93
Potential profit: $34.78
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $10.15

Over position

Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.33
Potential profit: $70.33
User PnL: -$49.23

Under position

Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.56
Potential profit: $35.56
User PnL: -$22.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.88

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.5

Yes position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.66

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.97

No position

Will Barcelona win La Liga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will the next Pope be from Africa?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.9

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Celtics

Ends Nov 27, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.8

Suns position

Magic vs. Suns

Ends Nov 26, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will the next Pope be from Asia?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win La Liga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Luca Doncic lead the NBA in scoring?

Ends Apr 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5

Over 70% 70.33 shares
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5

Under 62% 35.56 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 73% 206.08 shares
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 61% 163.93 shares
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

No 69% 144.93 shares
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 69.8% 71.66 shares
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33% 151.52 shares
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 10 shares
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 50 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 729.93 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

No 41% 243.9 shares
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 40% 0.17 shares