Yes position
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $21.5
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Polymarket Trader
0x8bb0...3aae
0x8bb0231ae5b932647b6a8fd8b6a55e2c7e883aae
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $33.4
- Realized PnL
- $37.87
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $15.79
- Potential profit
- $15.67
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $15.4
- Potential payout
- $15.64
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
Ends Dec 31, 2028- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $5.34
- Potential payout
- $10.17
- Potential profit
- $4.83
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $8.47
- Potential profit
- $3.77
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $4.34
- Potential payout
- $6.94
- Potential profit
- $2.6
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.78
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.15
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.87
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 87.1% 5.59 shares
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes 18% 27.78 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 50 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 52% 9.62 shares
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes 33% 15.15 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?Yes 28.3% 30.3 shares
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Yes 12% 25 shares
- Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 72% 6.94 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 34.5% 11.59 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 19% 15.79 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 76.2% 6.56 shares
- Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes 59% 8.47 shares