huanson

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$3.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $336.51
Potential profit: $336.51
User PnL: -$2.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $3.78
Potential payout: $236
Potential profit: $232.22
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $223
Potential profit: $222.44
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 43°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $223
Potential profit: $223
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.65
Potential profit: $218.65
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $208.2
Potential profit: $208.1
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.48
Potential profit: $115.48
User PnL: -$2.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $6.69
Potential payout: $100.54
Potential profit: $93.85
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $87.2
Potential profit: $87.12
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$2.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $78.25
Potential profit: $77.31
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $3.46
Potential payout: $69.25
Potential profit: $65.79
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $53.3
Potential profit: $53.27
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.8
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $42.76
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $11.9
Potential payout: $41.76
Potential profit: $29.86
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $3.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $39
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.25
Potential profit: $36.25
User PnL: -$10.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $33.81
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $6.73
Potential payout: $33.65
Potential profit: $26.92
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$1.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $7.38
Potential payout: $32.8
Potential profit: $25.42
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $14.72
Potential payout: $30.35
Potential profit: $15.63
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $11.7
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $18.3
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $0.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 22?