user458901

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.43K
Potential profit: $6.43K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $118.24
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$81.76

Yes position

Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $740.74
Potential profit: $740.74
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $675.68
Potential profit: $675.68
User PnL: -$250

Over position

New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $639.16
Potential profit: $639.16
User PnL: -$70

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $452.77
Potential profit: $452.77
User PnL: -$270

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $419.73
Potential profit: $419.73
User PnL: -$167.57

No position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $270.27
User PnL: -$100

Over position

England vs. Ghana: England O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $188.68
User PnL: -$100

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will South Africa finish last in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.93
Potential profit: $144.93
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.5%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $126.3
Potential payout: $126.3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $26.3

No position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $104.11
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $7
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $4.11

No position

Human moon landing in 2026?

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $103.57
Potential payout: $106.61
Potential profit: $3.04
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.57

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $56.82
Potential payout: $56.82
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $6.82

No position

Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $54.14
Potential payout: $54.14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.97
Potential profit: $25.97
User PnL: -$8.89

Yes position

Will Ryanair say "Weather" during earnings call?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.96
Potential profit: $21.96
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Weather" during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $6.49
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $4.15
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.43
Potential profit: $10.43
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.84
Potential profit: $9.84
User PnL: -$4.92

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be 2.6%?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $809.4

No position

Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be less than or equal to 2.4%?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.64

Paraguay position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.92

No position

Will Mexico’s February unemployment rate be 2.5%?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.58

Yes position

Will Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.93

No position

Will Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.15

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.82

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

US strike on Mexico by January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will Carson Schwesinger be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Scorigami in Week 3 of NFL Playoffs?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

US strike on Cuba by January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?