Polymarket Trader

0x8bCD35D1E63a6e624a803e88256b0F2D90C628A1-1770932196721

0x8bcd35d1e63a6e624a803e88256b0f2d90c628a1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $460.27
Realized PnL: $4.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.2K
Potential profit: $20.2K
User PnL: -$101

No position

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $440.84
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $572.58
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $10.84

Yes position

Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.33
Potential profit: $134.33
User PnL: -$106.55

Yes position

Will "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.39
Potential profit: $71.39
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.38
Potential profit: $58.38
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.44
Potential profit: $54.44
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $19.43
Potential payout: $41.79
Potential profit: $22.36
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$8.57

No position

Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.04
Potential profit: $41.04
User PnL: -$16.35

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.07
Potential profit: $32.07
User PnL: -$7.7

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.3
Potential profit: $28.3
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House press briefing?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.72
Potential profit: $15.72
User PnL: -$4.56

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Ten-Point Plan" during the next White House press briefing?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.91
Potential profit: $12.91
User PnL: -$6.97

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Big Beautiful Bill" during the next White House press briefing?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.31
Potential profit: $12.31
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.19
Potential profit: $2.19
User PnL: -$1.58

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $743.11

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $501.36

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $337.97

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.51

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.52

No position

Kash Patel out by April 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.7

Yes position

Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.45

No position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.47

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.87

No position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.7

No position

Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.17

Yes position

Will "House Tour" get between 14 and 15 million views in the first week?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.47

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $18.92

No position

Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.85

No position

Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.17

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.74

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.54

Yes position

Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.21

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.11

No position

Will Sabrina Carpenter arrest PinkPantheress during Juno?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.05

No position

Will "House Tour" get between 13 and 14 million views in the first week?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.94

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 53% 28.3 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 71% 15.49 shares
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 58% 11.21 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 33% 20.68 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 20.69 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Yes 42.4% 1,013.42 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 68% 430.56 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 81% 295.89 shares
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 16% 1,532.3 shares
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Yes 40% 1,532.3 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 45% 1,410.52 shares
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?

Yes 85% 1.93 shares