N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $813.48
- Potential payout
- $898.88
- Potential profit
- $85.39
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $13.48
Polymarket Trader
0x8BFd87DbD73E356962fC3D1a9d079946994BFB46-1782827058358
0x8bfd87dbd73e356962fc3d1a9d079946994bfb46
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.06K
- Realized PnL
- $1.28K
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $205.77
- Potential payout
- $875.62
- Potential profit
- $669.85
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Under position
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $705.95
- Potential profit
- $705.95
- User PnL
- -$321.56
Over position
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $579.71
- Potential profit
- $579.71
- User PnL
- -$400
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $359.95
- Potential payout
- $496.48
- Potential profit
- $136.53
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $6.99
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $122.37
- Potential payout
- $309.79
- Potential profit
- $187.42
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $4.65
Under position
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.69
- Potential profit
- $298.69
- User PnL
- -$95.58
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $200
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $38.1
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $22.58
- Potential payout
- $129.05
- Potential profit
- $106.46
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.82
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $50.76
- Potential payout
- $127.07
- Potential profit
- $76.3
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.9%
- Current value
- $98.89
- Potential payout
- $122.32
- Potential profit
- $23.42
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $67.89
- Potential payout
- $72.69
- Potential profit
- $4.8
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $48.07
- Potential payout
- $56.22
- Potential profit
- $8.15
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $33.45
- Potential payout
- $55.3
- Potential profit
- $21.84
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $28.07
- Potential payout
- $50.13
- Potential profit
- $22.06
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $5.29
- Potential payout
- $21.15
- Potential profit
- $15.87
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $5.09
- Potential payout
- $19.22
- Potential profit
- $14.13
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $591.7
No position
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $467.35
Over position
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.54
Yes position
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 45%
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
No position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$123.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran full airspace closure by July 31?No 84% 238.1 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 89% 224.72 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 89% 224.72 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 89% 224.72 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 89% 224.72 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?No 5% 515.93 shares
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over 99.9% 990.31 shares
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Draw at halftime?No 99.9% 1,301.32 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?No 29% 515.93 shares
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo 49% 56.65 shares
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo 49% 178.04 shares
- Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo 49% 136.37 shares